HIGHLIGHTED NEWS
The upcoming March review by FTSE Russell is considered a crucial technical step before the official upgrade in September 2026, given that conditions such as the NPF mechanism and the global brokerage model have already been implemented. If the process proceeds as planned, Vietnam could be included in the FTSE Emerging Market Index, thereby expanding the allocation range of global investment funds. In this scenario, the total capital flow related to the upgrade is estimated at approximately US$3–5 billion in the medium term and will be allocated in stages through restructuring. Notably, passive capital flows from index-tracking ETFs tend to concentrate more strongly after the upgrade decision takes effect, expected in late 2026 or early 2027. Currently, FTSE Russell screens stocks based on criteria such as market capitalization, liquidity, foreign ownership limit, and free-float ratio, meaning that stocks meeting the index criteria are more likely to attract attention in subsequent portfolio restructuring periods.
TRADING STRATEGY
The stock market declined to 1,813 points with lower liquidity compared to the previous trading session. Market divergence continued as capital remained concentrated in oil and gas, chemical, utilities, and transportation stocks. Meanwhile, selling pressure weighed heavily on leading real estate and banking stocks. The VN-Index is likely to fluctuate around 1,790-1,830 points today.
The market is currently in a short-term downward correction trend. Overall sentiment remains cautious. Not only in the domestic market, but also in global geopolitical dynamics, multifaceted changes are causing asset classes worldwide to show clearer divergence. The VN-Index is currently approaching the psychological support zone of 1,780-1,800 points. If selling pressure subsides and supportive capital flows return, especially in the VN30 group of blue-chip stocks, the index is likely to rebound to alleviate overall pressure before entering a period of supply and demand stabilization. Investors should carefully control their portfolio weightings and consider increasing their holdings in medium-term strategic portfolios when supportive reversals appear. Short-term trading should be flexible and adapt to capital flow movements.
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