HIGHLIGHTED NEWS
According to the General Statistics Office, the socio-economic situation in the first two months of 2026 continued to show many positive signs. Specifically, the industrial production index (IIP) increased by 10.4% compared to the same period last year, with the manufacturing sector increasing by 11.5%, electricity production and distribution by 6.3%, mining by 5.4%, and water supply and waste treatment by 2.1%. International trade activities maintained their expansion momentum, with total import and export turnover reaching US$155.7 billion (+22.2%); of which exports reached US$76.36 billion (+18.3%) and imports reached US$79.34 billion (+26.3%), resulting in a trade deficit of approximately US$2.98 billion. Of this, processed industrial goods accounted for 89.8% of export turnover, while production materials accounted for 94.1% of import turnover. In terms of markets, the United States continues to be Vietnam's largest export partner with a trade value of $23.8 billion, while China is the largest import market with $31.9 billion. In the investment sector, registered FDI capital reached $6.03 billion (-12.6%), but implemented capital still increased by 8.8% to $3.21 billion. Notably, total retail sales for the two months reached VND 1,236.6 trillion (+7.9%), and the average CPI for the two months increased by 2.94% compared to the same period last year.
TRADING STRATEGY
The stock market closed the week in the red at 1,767 points, with liquidity continuing to decline compared to the previous trading session. Downward pressure continued to weigh heavily on real estate, technology, and retail stocks, and extended to the financial sector. Meanwhile, individual stocks in the oil and gas, chemical, industrial services, and construction sectors played a positive role in supporting the overall index. The VN-Index is likely to fluctuate around the 1,750-1,775 point range today.
The market continued its downward correction trend with liquidity gradually weakening each session. Overall sentiment remained cautious. The divergence in performance showed signs of slowing down, leading to more widespread downward pressure across all sectors, except for individual stocks considered to have growth prospects due to global geopolitical changes. Foreign investors continued to be net sellers. The VN-Index is currently trending towards retesting the support zone around 1,720-1,740 points. In a positive scenario, a recovery at this support area would be a crucial move to watch for in order to confirm the equilibrium point of the market's supply and demand balance for subsequent price movements. Investors should carefully control their portfolio weightings and may consider increasing their holdings in medium-term strategic portfolios when support reversals appear accompanied by confirming signals. Short-term trading should be flexible and adapt to the flow of money.
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