HIGHLIGHTED NEWS
According to the Customs Department, in the first half of February (from February 1st to 15th), import and export turnover reached US$41.67 billion, a decrease of 14.2% compared to the second half of January due to the holiday period; exports reached US$20.36 billion, a decrease of 18.8%, while imports reached US$21.31 billion, a decrease of 9.3%. This resulted in a trade deficit of US$0.95 billion in the first half of February, bringing the cumulative trade deficit from the beginning of the year to February 15th to US$2.9 billion. It is projected that Vietnam's exports in 2026 may maintain a growth rate of over 13%.
According to Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang, with the orientation of ushering in a new era of national development, the main development goal of the domestic stock market in 2026 is to strive for a size of at least 100% of GDP (currently at 86.7%). Diversifying products, focusing on promoting IPOs, especially for FDI enterprises; developing the public bond market for project enterprises under the PPP model; promoting the issuance of green bonds and infrastructure bonds. The Ministry of Finance is committed to continuing to closely monitor, create all conditions, and provide maximum support for the stable, safe, and sustainable development of the stock market.
TRADING STRATEGY
The market maintained its recovery momentum, closing at 1,867 points with continued improvement in liquidity. Slight divergence occurred. Positive capital flows remained in large-cap stocks in the energy, financial services, chemical, and retail sectors, along with some individual real estate stocks. Conversely, downward pressure was mainly concentrated in banking stocks. The VN-Index is likely to fluctuate around the 1,860-1,875 point range today.
The market is currently in a medium-term uptrend, aiming to test and conquer the psychological level around 1,900 points. Large-cap stocks continue to attract capital and lead the index. Divergence occurred, allowing different sectors to take turns cooling down during the upward movement. Foreign investors maintained a net buying position across the board. Investors should continue to hold their positions, combining this with potential buying opportunities to increase the proportion of stocks in their strategic portfolios, with a medium-term outlook, prioritizing purchases during dips in upward trends. Short-term transactions should be flexible and adapt to cash flow movements.
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